

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | MK Dons | 
| 42.34% (  0.01) | 24.74% (  -0) | 32.92% (  -0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 57.9% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.86% (  0) | 45.13% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.51% (  0) | 67.48% (  -0.01) | 
| Newport County Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.63% (  0.01) | 21.36% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.66% (  0.01) | 54.33% (  -0.01) | 
| MK Dons Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.63% (  -0.01) | 26.36% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.48% (  -0.01) | 61.51% (  0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Newport County | Draw | MK Dons | 
| 2-1 @ 8.94% (  0) 1-0 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 6.71% (  0) 3-1 @ 4.6% (  0) 3-0 @ 3.45% (  0) 3-2 @ 3.07% (  0) 4-1 @ 1.78% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.33% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.18% (  0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 42.34% | 1-1 @ 11.58% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.63% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.73% (  -0) 0-1 @ 7.51% (  -0) 0-2 @ 5.01% (  -0) 1-3 @ 3.43% (  -0) 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.22% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.14% (  -0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 32.92% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Port Vale | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 76 | 
| 2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 21 | 12 | 10 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 75 | 
| 3 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 74 | 
| 4 | Walsall | 43 | 20 | 13 | 10 | 74 | 53 | 21 | 73 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 43 | 19 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 70 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 43 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 69 | 
| 7 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 16 | 18 | 9 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 66 | 
| 8 | Grimsby Town | 43 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 66 | 
| 9 | Chesterfield | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 65 | 50 | 15 | 63 | 
| 10 | Salford City | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 62 | 
| 11 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 43 | 15 | 17 | 11 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 62 | 
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 43 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 70 | 61 | 9 | 60 | 
| 13 | Bromley | 43 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 59 | 
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 43 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 57 | 
| 15 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 15 | 11 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 56 | 
| 16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 43 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 54 | 
| 17 | Gillingham | 43 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 51 | 
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 43 | 13 | 9 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 48 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 47 | 
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 47 | 
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 43 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 46 | 
| 22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 43 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 44 | 
| 23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 43 | 10 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 40 | 
| 24 | Morecambe | 43 | 10 | 6 | 27 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 36 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
