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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | MK Dons |
42.34% (![]() | 24.74% (![]() | 32.92% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.86% (![]() | 45.13% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.51% (![]() | 67.48% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.63% (![]() | 21.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.66% (![]() | 54.33% (![]() |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% (![]() | 26.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.48% (![]() | 61.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | MK Dons |
2-1 @ 8.94% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.6% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 42.34% | 1-1 @ 11.58% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.73% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.51% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 3.23% Total : 32.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 76 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 21 | 12 | 10 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 75 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 74 |
4 | Walsall | 43 | 20 | 13 | 10 | 74 | 53 | 21 | 73 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 43 | 19 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 70 |
6 | Notts County | 43 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 69 |
7 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 16 | 18 | 9 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 66 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 43 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 66 |
9 | Chesterfield | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 65 | 50 | 15 | 63 |
10 | Salford City | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 62 |
11 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 43 | 15 | 17 | 11 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 43 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 70 | 61 | 9 | 60 |
13 | Bromley | 43 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 59 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 43 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 57 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 15 | 11 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 56 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 43 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 54 |
17 | Gillingham | 43 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 51 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 43 | 13 | 9 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 48 |
19 | MK Dons | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 47 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 47 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 43 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 46 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 43 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 44 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 43 | 10 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 40 |
24 | Morecambe | 43 | 10 | 6 | 27 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |