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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Walsall

Newport
3 - 3
Walsall

Morris (4', 67'), Evans (45+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Draper (16', 53', 90+6')
Knowles (61'), Draper (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 4-1 Gillingham
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 Walsall

With both teams having been inconsistent throughout this campaign, this is a difficult match to predict. Although Walsall head into this contest in better form, Newport have been solid on home territory, and that could lead to a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawWalsall
45.85% (0.205 0.2) 25.13% (-0.041 -0.04) 29.02% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 54.65% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.47% (0.096000000000004 0.1)48.53% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.34% (0.088000000000001 0.09)70.65% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.81% (0.13199999999999 0.13)21.19% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.93% (0.203 0.2)54.06% (-0.2 -0.2)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)30.65% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)66.9% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 45.84%
    Walsall 29.02%
    Draw 25.12%
Newport CountyDrawWalsall
1-0 @ 10.07%
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.84%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.68% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.02%

How you voted: Newport vs Walsall

Newport County
63.6%
Draw
9.1%
Walsall
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Walsall
1-1
Newport
Norman (78')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Newport
0-1
Walsall

Bennett (8')
Demetriou (63' og.)
Hutchinson (16'), Daniels (65'), Allen (67'), Comley (72')
Allen (84')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 25
Walsall
3-3
Newport
Wilkinson (53', 90+5'), Dolan (65' og.)
Labadie (64')
Telford (4', 66'), Wilkinson (56' og.)
Baker-Richardson (59')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Newport
2-1
Walsall
Demetriou (9'), Clarke (87')
Upson (18')
Shade (45+2')
Feb 24, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Walsall
0-1
Newport

Gordon (8'), Vincent (53')
Labadie (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4422121069482178
2Port Vale442114963451877
3Bradford CityBradford4421121162431975
4Walsall4420141074532174
5AFC Wimbledon4419131255332270
6Notts County4419121364461869
7Grimsby Town44207176166-567
8Colchester UnitedColchester441618105143866
9Salford City441714135851765
10Chesterfield4417131468531564
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe441517124945462
12Bromley441614145856262
13Swindon TownSwindon441515147062860
14BarrowBarrow441512174947257
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155859-157
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham441512175765-857
17Gillingham441315163945-654
18MK Dons44148225266-1450
19Harrogate TownHarrogate441311204057-1750
20Newport CountyNewport441310215170-1949
21Accrington StanleyAccrington441114195268-1647
22Tranmere RoversTranmere441015193964-2545
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle441011234066-2641
24Morecambe44106283866-2836


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