Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
