Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | York City |
| 32.13% ( | 25.16% ( | 42.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.71% ( | 47.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.48% ( | 69.52% ( |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( | 27.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.47% ( | 63.53% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( | 22.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.53% ( | 55.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 3-0 @ 2.14% ( 4-1 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.13% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0-2 @ 7.03% ( 1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0-3 @ 3.54% ( 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 2-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 37 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 95 | 34 | 61 | 91 |
| 2 | Notts County | 38 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 96 | 35 | 61 | 90 |
| 3 | Woking | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 62 | 38 | 24 | 68 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 65 |
| 5 | Barnet | 36 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 62 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 61 |
| 7 | Eastleigh | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 60 |
| 8 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 55 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Bromley | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 52 |
| 11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 51 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 56 | 66 | -10 | 49 |
| 14 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 44 |
| 15 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 44 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 42 |
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 | York City | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 39 |
| 19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 36 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 37 |
| 20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 81 | -30 | 37 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 42 | 66 | -24 | 30 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 37 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 42 | 70 | -28 | 30 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 39 | 79 | -40 | 24 |
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