Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Maidstone United |
46.19% ( 0.01) | 24.28% ( 0) | 29.53% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.83% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.49% ( -0.02) | 44.51% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.12% ( -0.01) | 66.88% ( 0.01) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.6% ( -0) | 19.41% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.78% ( -0) | 51.22% ( 0) |
Maidstone United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.75% ( -0.01) | 28.25% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.04% ( -0.02) | 63.96% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Maidstone United |
2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.09% 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 46.2% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Notts County | 34 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 88 | 30 | 58 | 83 |
2 | Wrexham | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 30 | 53 | 78 |
3 | Woking | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 61 |
4 | Chesterfield | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 55 |
5 | Barnet | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 53 |
6 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 50 |
7 | Eastleigh | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 50 |
8 | Bromley | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 47 |
9 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 45 |
11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 45 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 42 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 42 |
14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 38 |
15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 35 |
18 | York City | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 33 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 73 | -26 | 33 |
20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 32 |
21 | Gateshead | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 32 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 29 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 38 | 63 | -25 | 26 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 22 |
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