Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Maidstone United | 
| 49.85% (  0.09) | 21.95% (  -0.03) | 28.2% (  -0.06) | 
| Both teams to score 65.25% (  0.07) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 65.67% (  0.11) | 34.33% (  -0.12) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 43.76% (  0.13) | 56.24% (  -0.13) | 
| Dorking Wanderers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.81% (  0.07) | 14.18% (  -0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.11% (  0.14) | 41.89% (  -0.14) | 
| Maidstone United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.03% (  0.02) | 23.97% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.8% (  0.03) | 58.2% (  -0.03) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Maidstone United | 
| 2-1 @ 9.26% (  -0) 1-0 @ 6.64% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.48% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.03% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 4.31% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 4.22% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 2.94% (  0.02) 4-2 @ 2.1% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 2.06% (  0.01) 5-1 @ 1.15% (  0.01) 4-3 @ 1% (  0.01) Other @ 3.65% Total : 49.85% | 1-1 @ 9.48% (  -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.62% (  0) 0-0 @ 3.4% (  -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.05% (  0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 6.77% (  -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.86% (  -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.47% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.23% (  -0) 2-3 @ 3.15% (  0) 0-3 @ 1.65% (  -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% (  -0) 2-4 @ 1.13% (  0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.2% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 33 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 84 | 30 | 54 | 80 | 
| 2 | Wrexham | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 75 | 
| 3 | Woking | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 58 | 
| 4 | Chesterfield | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 54 | 
| 5 | Barnet | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 53 | 
| 6 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 50 | 
| 7 | Bromley | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 47 | 
| 8 | Eastleigh | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 47 | 
| 9 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 45 | 
| 10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 44 | 
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 42 | 
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 41 | 
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 39 | 
| 14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 38 | 
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 36 | 
| 16 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 35 | 
| 17 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 33 | 
| 18 | York City | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 32 | 
| 19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 32 | 
| 20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 30 | 
| 21 | Gateshead | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 29 | 
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 29 | 
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 26 | 
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 22 | 
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