Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 66.11%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 15.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
66.11% (![]() | 18.66% (![]() | 15.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.79% (![]() | 36.21% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.67% (![]() | 58.33% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.8% (![]() | 10.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.52% (![]() | 33.48% (![]() |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.36% (![]() | 36.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.57% (![]() | 73.43% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 9.74% 1-0 @ 8.53% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.44% 3-0 @ 7.41% 4-1 @ 4.25% 4-0 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.73% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.93% 5-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 4.03% Total : 66.11% | 1-1 @ 8.57% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.66% | 1-2 @ 4.3% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.64% 1-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.22% Total : 15.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Notts County | 30 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 74 | 27 | 47 | 71 |
2 | Wrexham | 28 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 72 | 24 | 48 | 68 |
3 | Woking | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 53 |
4 | Chesterfield | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 52 |
5 | Barnet | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 50 |
6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 42 |
7 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 41 |
8 | Bromley | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 41 |
9 | Eastleigh | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 |
10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 41 |
11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 39 |
12 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 37 |
13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 |
14 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 36 |
15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 35 |
16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 33 |
17 | York City | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 32 |
18 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 32 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 30 |
20 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 28 |
21 | Gateshead | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 28 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 26 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 23 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 22 |
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