Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Emmen | 
| 43.07% ( | 25.59% ( | 31.34% ( | 
| Both teams to score 54.4% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.58% ( | 49.42% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.54% ( | 71.46% ( | 
| Groningen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.15% ( | 22.84% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.43% ( | 56.57% ( | 
| Emmen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.51% ( | 29.49% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.5% ( | 65.5% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Groningen | Draw | Emmen | 
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 4-2 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 43.07%  | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.58%  | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 1-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.34%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 28 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 67 | 27 | 40 | 67 | 
| 2 | Ajax | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 76 | 28 | 48 | 59 | 
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 75 | 33 | 42 | 59 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 54 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 51 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 49 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 42 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 38 | 
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 28 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 | 
| 10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 35 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 32 | 
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 30 | 
| 13 | Vitesse | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 27 | 
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 58 | -26 | 27 | 
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 25 | 
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 28 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 24 | 
| 17 | Groningen | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 17 | 
| 18 | Cambuur | 28 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 55 | -34 | 16 | 
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