Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 37.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Emmen |
| 37.72% ( | 24.84% ( | 37.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.12% ( | 44.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.76% ( | 67.24% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.47% ( | 23.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.43% ( | 57.58% ( |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.33% ( | 23.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.22% ( | 57.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 4-0 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.72% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 3-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 1-3 @ 4.02% ( 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 37.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 28 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 67 | 27 | 40 | 67 |
| 2 | Ajax | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 76 | 28 | 48 | 59 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 75 | 33 | 42 | 59 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 54 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 51 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 49 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 38 |
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 28 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
| 10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 32 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 30 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 27 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 58 | -26 | 27 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 25 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 28 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 24 |
| 17 | Groningen | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 28 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 55 | -34 | 16 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
