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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 85.96%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 4.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 4-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.47%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (1.45%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
85.96% (![]() | 9.55% (![]() | 4.49% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.68% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.59% (![]() | 26.4% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.27% (![]() | 46.73% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.85% (![]() | 4.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.65% (![]() | 17.35% (![]() |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.66% (![]() | 52.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.77% (![]() | 86.22% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
3-0 @ 11.66% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.99% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 9.28% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.55% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.12% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.91% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.01% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.83% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 3.56% Total : 85.95% | 1-1 @ 4.47% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.17% ( ![]() Other @ 0.6% Total : 9.55% | 1-2 @ 1.45% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 1.64% Total : 4.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 61 |
2 | Ajax | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 56 |
3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 71 | 33 | 38 | 56 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 54 |
5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 35 |
9 | Heerenveen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
14 | Vitesse | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 24 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 24 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 24 |
17 | Groningen | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 16 |
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