Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 85.96%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 4.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 4-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.47%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (1.45%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen | 
| 85.96% (  -0.09) | 9.55% (  0.07) | 4.49% (  0.03) | 
| Both teams to score 45.68% (  -0.12) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 73.59% (  -0.24) | 26.4% (  0.23) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 53.27% (  -0.3) | 46.73% (  0.3) | 
| PSV Eindhoven Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 95.85% (  -0.06) | 4.15% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 82.65% (  -0.17) | 17.35% (  0.17) | 
| Groningen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 47.66% (  -0.09) | 52.34% (  0.09) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 13.77% (  -0.06) | 86.22% (  0.06) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen | 
| 3-0 @ 11.66% (  0.03) 2-0 @ 10.99% (  0.07) 4-0 @ 9.28% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.55% (  -0) 2-1 @ 7.12% (  0.03) 1-0 @ 6.91% (  0.07) 4-1 @ 6.01% (  -0.02) 5-0 @ 5.91% (  -0.03) 5-1 @ 3.83% (  -0.03) 6-0 @ 3.13% (  -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.45% (  -0.01) 6-1 @ 2.03% (  -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.95% (  -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.43% (  -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.24% (  -0.01) 7-1 @ 0.92% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 85.95% | 1-1 @ 4.47% (  0.04) 2-2 @ 2.3% (  0) 0-0 @ 2.17% (  0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 9.55% | 1-2 @ 1.45% (  0.01) 0-1 @ 1.41% (  0.02) Other @ 1.64% Total : 4.49% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 61 | 
| 2 | Ajax | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 56 | 
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 71 | 33 | 38 | 56 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 54 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 | 
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 35 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 | 
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 | 
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 | 
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 | 
| 13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 | 
| 14 | Vitesse | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 24 | 
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 24 | 
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 24 | 
| 17 | Groningen | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 17 | 
| 18 | Cambuur | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 16 | 
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