Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 85.96%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 4.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 4-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.47%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (1.45%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
| 85.96% ( | 9.55% ( | 4.49% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.59% ( | 26.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.27% ( | 46.73% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.85% ( | 4.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 82.65% ( | 17.35% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.66% ( | 52.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 13.77% ( | 86.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
| 3-0 @ 11.66% ( 2-0 @ 10.99% ( 4-0 @ 9.28% ( 3-1 @ 7.55% ( 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 1-0 @ 6.91% ( 4-1 @ 6.01% ( 5-0 @ 5.91% ( 5-1 @ 3.83% ( 6-0 @ 3.13% ( 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 6-1 @ 2.03% ( 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 7-0 @ 1.43% ( 5-2 @ 1.24% ( 7-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.56% Total : 85.95% | 1-1 @ 4.47% ( 2-2 @ 2.3% ( 0-0 @ 2.17% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 9.55% | 1-2 @ 1.45% ( 0-1 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 1.64% Total : 4.49% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 61 |
| 2 | Ajax | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 56 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 71 | 33 | 38 | 56 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 54 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
| 13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 24 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 24 |
| 17 | Groningen | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 16 |
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