Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 67.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 14.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
