Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Ajax |
| 30.79% | 22.8% | 46.41% |
| Both teams to score 63.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.14% | 36.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.97% | 59.03% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.36% | 23.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.27% | 57.73% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% | 16.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.09% | 45.91% |
| Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven 30.79%
Ajax 46.41%
Draw 22.79%
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 7.27% 1-0 @ 5.57% 2-0 @ 4.01% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.79% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 6.59% 0-0 @ 3.86% 3-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.14% 0-1 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 5.52% 2-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 3.83% 1-4 @ 2.5% 2-4 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.74% 1-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.65% Total : 46.41% |
How you voted: PSV vs Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
23.7%Draw
7.9%Ajax
68.4%38
Form Guide
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