Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%).
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 31.83% | 25.52% | 42.65% |
| Both teams to score 54.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.03% | 48.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.94% | 71.06% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.06% | 28.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.17% | 64.82% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.14% | 22.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.41% | 56.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 1-0 @ 8.2% 2-1 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.83% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.61% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 9.76% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-2 @ 7.2% 1-3 @ 4.4% 0-3 @ 3.54% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.15% Total : 42.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 10 | 28 | 28 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 24 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 24 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 13 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Groningen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
| 16 | Cambuur | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | EmmenEmmen | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 6 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 31 | -19 | 6 |
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