Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 37.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
