Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
