Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 57.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Bradford City had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Bradford City win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Bradford City |
| 57.04% ( | 25.43% ( | 17.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.14% ( | 59.85% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.87% ( | 80.13% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( | 21.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.11% ( | 53.89% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.97% ( | 48.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.75% ( | 83.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 15.75% ( 2-0 @ 12.27% ( 2-1 @ 9% ( 3-0 @ 6.37% ( 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 3-2 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 57.04% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0-0 @ 10.12% ( 2-2 @ 3.3% ( Other @ 0.45% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 1-2 @ 4.24% ( 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 1-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 17.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 |
| 2 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 64 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 63 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 59 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 59 |
| 7 | Salford City | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 56 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 52 |
| 11 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 35 | 15 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 50 |
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 49 |
| 13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 48 |
| 14 | Walsall | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 44 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
| 16 | Grimsby Town | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 42 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 42 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 39 |
| 19 | Gillingham | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 38 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 35 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 30 |
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 29 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 36 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 25 |
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