Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 34.95% ( | 26.45% ( | 38.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.82% ( | 52.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.11% ( | 73.89% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( | 28.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.7% ( | 64.3% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% ( | 26.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.45% ( | 61.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 3-1 @ 3.3% ( 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 4-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.95% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 64 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 59 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 59 |
| 7 | Salford City | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 56 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 55 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 55 |
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 52 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 50 |
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 35 | 15 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 50 |
| 13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 48 |
| 14 | Walsall | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 45 |
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 45 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 43 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 35 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 42 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 40 |
| 19 | Gillingham | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 38 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 35 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 30 |
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 29 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 36 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 25 |
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