Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Mansfield Town | 
| 19.8% (  0.25) | 23.41% (  0.18) | 56.79% (  -0.43) | 
| Both teams to score 50.15% (  -0.14) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.34% (  -0.39) | 49.66% (  0.39) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.32% (  -0.35) | 71.68% (  0.35) | 
| Hartlepool United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 60.62% (  0.05) | 39.38% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.92% (  0.05) | 76.08% (  -0.05) | 
| Mansfield Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.72% (  -0.29) | 17.27% (  0.29) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.39% (  -0.52) | 47.61% (  0.51) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Mansfield Town | 
| 1-0 @ 6.34% (  0.11) 2-1 @ 5.19% (  0.04) 2-0 @ 2.95% (  0.05) 3-1 @ 1.61% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 1.42% (  0) 3-0 @ 0.92% (  0.02) Other @ 1.38% Total : 19.8% | 1-1 @ 11.13% (  0.09) 0-0 @ 6.8% (  0.11) 2-2 @ 4.55% (  -0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 11.94% (  0.07) 0-2 @ 10.48% (  -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.77% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.14% (  -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.72% (  -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.7% (  -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.67% (  -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.51% (  -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.17% (  -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.95% (  -0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 56.78% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 63 | 
| 2 | Stevenage | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 56 | 
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 28 | 20 | 51 | 
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 50 | 
| 5 | Salford City | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 48 | 
| 6 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 43 | 
| 7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 42 | 
| 8 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 42 | 
| 9 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 42 | 
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 41 | 
| 11 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 40 | 
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 | 
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 39 | 
| 14 | Walsall | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 38 | 
| 15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 | 
| 16 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 33 | 
| 17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 31 | 
| 18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 31 | 
| 19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 | 
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 27 | 
| 21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 25 | 
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 25 | 
| 23 | Gillingham | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 24 | 
| 24 | Rochdale | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 20 | 
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