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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Hartlepool United |
59.87% (![]() | 23.06% (![]() | 17.07% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.47% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.91% (![]() | 52.09% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.19% (![]() | 73.81% (![]() |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.95% (![]() | 17.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.78% (![]() | 47.22% (![]() |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.02% (![]() | 43.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.89% (![]() | 80.11% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 13.26% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.73% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.64% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.92% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 59.86% | 1-1 @ 10.89% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.5% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.96% ( ![]() Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.05% | 0-1 @ 6.16% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 1.59% Total : 17.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 40 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 54 | 27 | 27 | 81 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 41 | 20 | 13 | 8 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 73 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 41 | 20 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 33 | 24 | 70 |
4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 41 | 19 | 13 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 70 |
5 | Stevenage | 40 | 19 | 13 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 70 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 40 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 68 |
7 | Salford City | 41 | 19 | 9 | 13 | 64 | 48 | 16 | 66 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 40 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 64 | 49 | 15 | 65 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 41 | 18 | 7 | 16 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 61 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 41 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 57 |
11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 53 |
12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 51 |
13 | Walsall | 41 | 11 | 18 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 51 |
14 | Grimsby Town | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 51 |
15 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 41 | 57 | -16 | 51 |
16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 40 | 11 | 15 | 14 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 48 |
17 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 47 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 47 |
19 | Gillingham | 41 | 12 | 11 | 18 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 47 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 41 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 42 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 40 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 41 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 41 | 8 | 15 | 18 | 48 | 70 | -22 | 39 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 41 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 38 |
24 | Rochdale | 41 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 33 |
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