Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Salford City |
| 20.49% ( | 24.46% ( | 55.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.05% ( | 52.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.45% ( | 74.55% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.47% ( | 40.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.86% ( | 77.13% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.85% ( | 19.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.2% ( | 50.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.01% ( 2-1 @ 5.23% ( 2-0 @ 3.17% ( 3-1 @ 1.58% ( 3-2 @ 1.3% ( 3-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.26% Total : 20.49% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 2-2 @ 4.32% ( Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 12.82% ( 0-2 @ 10.6% ( 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0-3 @ 5.84% ( 1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0-4 @ 2.41% ( 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 1-4 @ 2.18% ( 2-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 55.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Leyton Orient | 42 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 84 |
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 43 | 21 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 77 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 76 |
| 4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 60 | 36 | 24 | 72 |
| 5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 72 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 71 |
| 7 | Salford City | 43 | 20 | 9 | 14 | 66 | 49 | 17 | 69 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 67 | 51 | 16 | 69 |
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 18 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 62 |
| 10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 43 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 57 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Grimsby Town | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 55 |
| 13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 43 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 54 |
| 14 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 52 |
| 15 | Walsall | 43 | 11 | 18 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 51 |
| 16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 51 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 50 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 47 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 46 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 42 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 45 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 43 | 10 | 12 | 21 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 42 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 43 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 48 | 74 | -26 | 39 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 43 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 34 |
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