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Oct 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK at CNG Stadium
Harrogate
2 - 1
Hartlepool
Pattison (25'), Muldoon (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Umerah (85')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Harrogate Town 0-1 Hartlepool United

With Hartlepool slightly improving since appointing Curle, we think that they will do just enough to win this one, in a closely-fought game. Umerah is likely to be the difference-maker if there is to be one, given his impressive start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawHartlepool United
43.79% (-0.11 -0.11) 27.05% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 29.17% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.84% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.89% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)56.11% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.83% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)77.18% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)25.44% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)60.27% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51% (0.062000000000012 0.06)34.5% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.79% (0.065999999999999 0.07)71.21% (-0.065000000000012 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 43.78%
    Hartlepool United 29.17%
    Draw 27.04%
Harrogate TownDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 43.78%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.34% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 29.17%

Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Hartlepool
3-2
Harrogate
Ferguson (52'), Cullen (53'), Daly (59')
Byrne (27'), Daly (63')
Thomson (28'), Burdett (35' og.)
Smith (55')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Harrogate
4-1
Hartlepool
Kerry (54'), Muldoon (58' pen., 91'), Falkingham (68')
Kerry (47'), Burrell (63')
Kabamba (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient23165235122353
2Stevenage23146334171748
3Northampton TownNorthampton23127438241443
4Carlisle UnitedCarlisle23109436231339
5Swindon TownSwindon2410862824438
6Mansfield TownMansfield2311573229338
7Bradford CityBradford2210662721636
8Salford City2210572820835
9BarrowBarrow23112102928135
10Stockport CountyStockport22104833221134
11AFC Wimbledon239772826234
12Doncaster RoversDoncaster2310492833-534
13Walsall229672720733
14Tranmere RoversTranmere239682519633
15Sutton UnitedSutton2495102330-732
16Grimsby Town227692527-227
17Crewe AlexandraCrewe216781827-925
18Newport CountyNewport2366112125-424
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2264122733-622
20Crawley TownCrawley2356122437-1321
21Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2346132142-2118
22Colchester UnitedColchester2345142031-1117
23Rochdale2243151835-1715
24Gillingham222812727-2014

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