| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Stockport County | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 19 | Harrogate Town | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 | Colchester United | 7 | -5 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Barrow | 7 | 2 | 15 |
| 4 | Salford City | 7 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | Northampton Town | 7 | 4 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Salford City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 25.14% ( | 25.03% ( | 49.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.3% ( | 50.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.4% ( | 72.6% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.15% ( | 34.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.41% ( | 71.58% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.64% ( | 20.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.24% ( | 52.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 2-1 @ 6.27% ( 2-0 @ 3.94% ( 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 3-0 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 25.14% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0-2 @ 8.99% ( 1-3 @ 5.03% ( 0-3 @ 4.77% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 1-4 @ 2% ( 0-4 @ 1.9% ( 2-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 49.83% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 67 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 57 |
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 52 |
| 5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Salford City | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 49 |
| 7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Bradford CityBradford | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 48 |
| 9 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 46 |
| 10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 44 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 42 |
| 12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 41 |
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 41 |
| 14 | BarrowBarrow | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 41 |
| 15 | Walsall | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 40 |
| 16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 35 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 35 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 33 |
| 19 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 33 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 28 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 26 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 21 |
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