| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Stevenage | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Barrow | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Crewe Alexandra | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Walsall | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Harrogate Town | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town | 4 | 1 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 46.77% ( | 26.44% ( | 26.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.94% ( | 55.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.68% ( | 76.31% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( | 23.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.43% ( | 57.56% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.18% ( | 35.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.4% ( | 72.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% ( 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 3-1 @ 4.37% ( 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 4-0 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.77% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 2-2 @ 4.65% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 26.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 36 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 73 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 67 |
| 3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 60 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 60 |
| 7 | Salford City | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 59 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 55 |
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 52 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 51 |
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 50 |
| 13 | Walsall | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 48 |
| 14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 48 |
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 45 |
| 16 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
| 18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 36 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 42 |
| 19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 38 |
| 20 | Gillingham | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 38 |
| 21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 58 | -20 | 32 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 40 | 66 | -26 | 31 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 26 |
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