| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Salford City | 1 | 2 | 3 | 
| 6 | Barrow | 1 | 1 | 3 | 
| 7 | Northampton Town | 1 | 1 | 3 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Sutton United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 
| 13 | Bradford City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Bradford City | 
| 34.8% (  0.49) | 28.32% (  0.31) | 36.89% (  -0.8) | 
| Both teams to score 46.82% (  -0.87) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 40.56% (  -1.1) | 59.44% (  1.1) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 20.19% (  -0.85) | 79.81% (  0.85) | 
| Barrow Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.76% (  -0.23) | 32.24% (  0.24) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.27% (  -0.27) | 68.73% (  0.27) | 
| Bradford City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.1% (  -1.04) | 30.91% (  1.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.8% (  -1.24) | 67.2% (  1.24) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Barrow | Draw | Bradford City | 
| 1-0 @ 11.27% (  0.38) 2-1 @ 7.5% (  -0) 2-0 @ 6.38% (  0.18) 3-1 @ 2.83% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.41% (  0.05) 3-2 @ 1.66% (  -0.06) Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.79% | 1-1 @ 13.24% (  0.08) 0-0 @ 9.96% (  0.4) 2-2 @ 4.4% (  -0.13) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 11.69% (  0.14) 1-2 @ 7.78% (  -0.18) 0-2 @ 6.87% (  -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.04% (  -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.69% (  -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.72% (  -0.1) Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.88% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 70 | 
| 2 | Stevenage | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 57 | 
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 55 | 
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 52 | 
| 5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 52 | 
| 6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 51 | 
| 7 | Salford City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 49 | 
| 8 | Bradford CityBradford | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 48 | 
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 47 | 
| 10 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 46 | 
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 45 | 
| 12 | BarrowBarrow | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 44 | 
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 42 | 
| 14 | Walsall | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 41 | 
| 15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 41 | 
| 16 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 | 
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 36 | 
| 18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 35 | 
| 19 | Newport CountyNewport | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 34 | 
| 20 | Gillingham | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 30 | 
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 29 | 
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 27 | 
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 | 
| 24 | Rochdale | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 21 | 
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