Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Brisbane Roar | 
| 48.92% ( | 23.9% ( | 27.18% ( | 
| Both teams to score 57.39% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.69% ( | 44.31% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.32% ( | 66.68% ( | 
| Sydney FC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.77% ( | 18.22% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.75% ( | 49.24% ( | 
| Brisbane Roar Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.18% ( | 29.82% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.09% ( | 65.9% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Sydney FC | Draw | Brisbane Roar | 
| 2-1 @ 9.53% 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 4-2 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 3.52% Total : 48.92%  | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.89%  | 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0-2 @ 3.98% ( 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 27.18%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 52 | 
| 2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 42 | 
| 3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 41 | 
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 41 | 
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 35 | 
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 32 | 
| 7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 29 | 
| 8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 | 
| 9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 | 
| 10 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 28 | 
| 11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 27 | 
| 12 | Macarthur | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 26 | 
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