Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
43.44% (![]() | 25.55% (![]() | 31.01% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.37% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.6% (![]() | 49.39% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.56% (![]() | 71.44% (![]() |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.34% (![]() | 22.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.7% (![]() | 56.3% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.3% (![]() | 29.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.25% (![]() | 65.75% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
1-0 @ 9.99% (![]() 2-1 @ 9% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.44% | 1-1 @ 12.12% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.17% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.36% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 49 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 41 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 38 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 38 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 32 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 32 |
7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 29 |
8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 29 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 28 |
10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 27 |
11 | Macarthur | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 |
12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 25 |
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