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Wellington Phoenix
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Mar 21, 2021 at 5.05am UK at Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
Wellington
1 - 1
Brisbane Roar
Hemed (42')
McGarry (68'), Payne (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mebrahtu (86')
Gillesphey (5'), Brown (10'), Aldred (90+3')
Gillesphey (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawBrisbane Roar
39.31%24.81%35.87%
Both teams to score 58.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.13%44.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.78%67.22%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29%22.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.63%56.36%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48%24.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01%58.98%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 39.31%
    Brisbane Roar 35.87%
    Draw 24.81%
Wellington PhoenixDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 8.6%
1-0 @ 8.25%
2-0 @ 6.12%
3-1 @ 4.25%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.12%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 39.31%
1-1 @ 11.6%
2-2 @ 6.05%
0-0 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.81%
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-1 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 5.5%
1-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 2.83%
0-3 @ 2.58%
1-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 35.87%

How you voted: Wellington vs Brisbane Roar

Wellington Phoenix
46.2%
Draw
7.7%
Brisbane Roar
46.2%
13
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2020 9am
Wellington
1-1
Brisbane Roar
Hooper (82')
Steinmann (12')
McDonald (61')
Aldred (10'), Ridenton (74')
Jan 18, 2020 6am
Brisbane Roar
1-0
Wellington
Wenzel-Halls (69')
Pepper (32'), Bowles (72'), Hingert (86')

Sotirio (12'), Steinmann (20'), Cacace (87'), Davila (87')
Nov 23, 2019 6am
Wellington
2-1
Brisbane Roar
Taylor (10'), Davila (49')
Steinmann (19'), Cacace (35')
Mauk (85')
Mauk (14'), Aldred (52')
Apr 12, 2019 10.50am
Brisbane Roar
2-1
Wellington
Bautheac (37', 42')
Pepper (32'), Powell (34'), Bautheac (83'), Lokolingoy (93')
Bautheac (95')
Taylor (53')
Taylor (63')
Dec 22, 2018 6.35am
Wellington
4-1
Brisbane Roar
Papadopoulos (35' og.), Williams (75'), Krishna (80' pen.), Singh (93')
Cacace (69')
Henrique (45')
Kristensen (37'), Papadopoulos (83'), D'Agostino (86')
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