Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.