World Cup | Semi-Finals
Dec 13, 2022 at 7pm UK
Lusail Iconic Stadium
Argentina
3 - 0
Croatia
Reaction
Lionel Messi breaks fresh World Cup records, equals Diego Maradona mark in semi-final
Argentina's Lionel Messi breaks a string of World Cup records with a goal and an assist against Croatia, including equalling Diego Maradona's all-time assist mark.
Dec 13, 21:00
Lionel Messi, Julian Alvarez react as Argentina reach 2022 World Cup final
Lionel Messi and Julian Alvarez express their delight after Argentina secured their place in the 2022 World Cup final courtesy of a 3-0 semi-final win against Croatia on Tuesday night.
Dec 14, 00:59
Argentina forward Lionel Messi confirms final will be his last World Cup match
Argentina forward Lionel Messi confirms that Sunday's World Cup final will be his last appearance in the tournament.
Dec 14, 14:13
The Match
Analysis
Sports Mole provides highlights, man of the match and stats for Argentina's Lionel Messi-inspired 3-0 victory over Croatia in the World Cup semi-final.
Match Report
Argentina book their place in the 2022 World Cup final courtesy of a 3-0 semi-final victory against Croatia at the Lusail Stadium on Tuesday night.
Team News
Lionel Messi starts as Argentina make two changes for this evening's World Cup 2022 semi-final showdown against Croatia at the Lusail Stadium.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup clash between Argentina and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Tuesday's World Cup 2022 semi-final with Croatia.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Argentina (3-4 pen.)
Friday, December 9 at 7pm in World Cup
Friday, December 9 at 7pm in World Cup
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 50.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Croatia win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Croatia |
50.97% ( 0.05) | 25.88% ( -0.02) | 23.16% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.36% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
