Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 55.84%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 55.84% ( | 21.85% ( | 22.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.35% ( | 39.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38% ( | 62% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.89% ( | 14.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.25% ( | 41.75% ( |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% ( | 31.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.41% ( | 67.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 3-1 @ 6.42% ( 3-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 4-0 @ 2.7% ( 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 5-0 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 55.84% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 3-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.84% | 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0-2 @ 2.98% ( 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 22.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 52 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 41 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
| 4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 41 |
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 32 |
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 32 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
| 8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 28 |
| 10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 27 |
| 11 | Macarthur | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 25 |
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