Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 51.16% ( | 23.36% ( | 25.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.74% ( | 43.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.34% ( | 65.66% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.02% ( | 16.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.91% ( | 47.09% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.43% ( | 30.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.19% ( | 66.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 2-0 @ 8.16% ( 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 4-2 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 4.02% Total : 51.16% | 1-1 @ 10.9% 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0-0 @ 5.19% ( 3-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 25.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 27 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 24 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 20 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
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