Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Nov 4, 2022 at 8.45am UK
AAMI Park
Victory
4 - 0
Newcastle Jets
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Newcastle Jets.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-0 Victory
Saturday, October 29 at 5am in Australian A-League
Saturday, October 29 at 5am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Friday, October 28 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Friday, October 28 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
49.09% ( 0.42) | 23.69% ( -0.45) | 27.22% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.14% ( 1.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
