Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Western United had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Western United win it was 1-2 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.