Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.