Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets | 
| 39.65% | 24.9% | 35.46% | 
| Both teams to score 57.99% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.7% | 45.3% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.36% | 67.64% | 
| Brisbane Roar Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.27% | 22.73% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.6% | 56.4% | 
| Newcastle Jets Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.05% | 24.95% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.41% | 59.59% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets | 
| 2-1 @ 8.64% 1-0 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 6.22% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.65% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 8.1% 0-1 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 5.46% 1-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.46% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 16 | 27 | 
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 22 | 
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 
| 4 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 20 | 
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 19 | 
| 6 | Macarthur | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 17 | 
| 7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 | 
| 8 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 17 | 
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 17 | 
| 10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 16 | 
| 11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 | 
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 | 
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