Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Chesterfield | 
| 30.24% (  0) | 24.72% (  -0.03) | 45.04% (  0.03) | 
| Both teams to score 56.74% (  0.11) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.88% (  0.14) | 46.12% (  -0.15) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.58% (  0.14) | 68.42% (  -0.14) | 
| Barnet Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.42% (  0.07) | 28.57% (  -0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.63% (  0.09) | 64.37% (  -0.09) | 
| Chesterfield Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.44% (  0.07) | 20.56% (  -0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.92% (  0.11) | 53.07% (  -0.11) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Barnet | Draw | Chesterfield | 
| 1-0 @ 7.36% (  -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.29% (  0) 2-0 @ 4.61% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.04% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 2.41% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 0.95% (  0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.24% | 1-1 @ 11.64% (  -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.87% (  -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.77% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 1.27% (  0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 9.29% (  -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.21% (  0) 0-2 @ 7.35% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.86% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 3.88% (  0) 2-3 @ 3.04% (  0.01) 1-4 @ 1.92% (  0.01) 0-4 @ 1.53% (  0) 2-4 @ 1.2% (  0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 45.04% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 34 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 88 | 30 | 58 | 83 | 
| 2 | Wrexham | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 30 | 53 | 78 | 
| 3 | Woking | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 61 | 
| 4 | Chesterfield | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 55 | 
| 5 | Barnet | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 53 | 
| 6 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 50 | 
| 7 | Eastleigh | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 50 | 
| 8 | Bromley | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 47 | 
| 9 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 | 
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 45 | 
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 45 | 
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 42 | 
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 42 | 
| 14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 38 | 
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 37 | 
| 16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 36 | 
| 17 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 35 | 
| 18 | York City | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 33 | 
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 73 | -26 | 33 | 
| 20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 32 | 
| 21 | Gateshead | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 32 | 
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 29 | 
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 38 | 63 | -25 | 26 | 
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 22 | 
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