Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 83.26%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 5.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 4-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.12%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 83.26% ( | 11% ( | 5.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.13% ( | 27.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.42% ( | 48.58% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.16% ( | 4.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 80.51% ( | 19.49% ( |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.89% ( | 49.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.97% ( | 84.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 3-0 @ 11% ( 2-0 @ 10.89% ( 4-0 @ 8.33% ( 3-1 @ 7.82% ( 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 4-1 @ 5.92% ( 5-0 @ 5.05% ( 5-1 @ 3.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 6-0 @ 2.55% ( 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 6-1 @ 1.81% ( 5-2 @ 1.28% ( 7-0 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 4.08% Total : 83.25% | 1-1 @ 5.12% ( 2-2 @ 2.76% ( 0-0 @ 2.38% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 11% | 1-2 @ 1.82% ( 0-1 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 5.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 97 | 35 | 62 | 94 |
| 2 | Notts County | 39 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 97 | 36 | 61 | 91 |
| 3 | Woking | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 68 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 68 |
| 5 | Barnet | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 69 | 61 | 8 | 63 |
| 6 | Eastleigh | 39 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 63 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 37 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 61 |
| 8 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 55 |
| 9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 54 |
| 10 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 15 | 8 | 14 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Bromley | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 52 |
| 12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 52 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 49 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 47 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 45 |
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 43 |
| 17 | Halifax TownHalifax | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
| 18 | York City | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 42 |
| 19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 37 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 38 |
| 20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 37 | 10 | 7 | 20 | 52 | 83 | -31 | 37 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 34 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 33 |
| 23 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 31 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 24 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
