Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 54.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Altrincham win it was 2-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Wrexham |
| 22.25% ( | 22.76% ( | 54.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.11% ( | 43.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.72% ( | 66.28% ( |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% ( | 33.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.68% ( | 70.31% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.15% ( | 15.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.95% ( | 45.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-1 @ 5.83% ( 1-0 @ 5.81% ( 2-0 @ 3.16% ( 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 3-2 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 22.25% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 0-2 @ 9.05% ( 1-3 @ 6.05% ( 0-3 @ 5.56% ( 2-3 @ 3.29% ( 1-4 @ 2.79% ( 0-4 @ 2.56% ( 2-4 @ 1.52% ( 1-5 @ 1.03% ( 0-5 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 54.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 35 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 90 | 34 | 56 | 85 |
| 2 | Notts County | 36 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 84 |
| 3 | Woking | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
| 4 | Barnet | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 65 | 57 | 8 | 59 |
| 5 | Chesterfield | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Eastleigh | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 57 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 55 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 53 |
| 9 | Bromley | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 52 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 51 |
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 49 |
| 12 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 46 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 45 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 43 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 41 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 41 |
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 |
| 18 | York City | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 36 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 34 |
| 20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 33 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 33 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 30 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 27 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 38 | 77 | -39 | 24 |
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