Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 79.93%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 8.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.98%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-2 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Altrincham | 
| 79.93% (  -0.7) | 11.96% (  0.37) | 8.11% (  0.33) | 
| Both teams to score 59.29% (  -0.13) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 77.78% (  -0.79) | 22.22% (  0.79) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 58.8% (  -1.09) | 41.2% (  1.09) | 
| Wrexham Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 95.69% (  -0.25) | 4.31% (  0.24) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 82.14% (  -0.78) | 17.86% (  0.78) | 
| Altrincham Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 61.96% (  0.02) | 38.04% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.19% (  0.02) | 74.81% (  -0.03) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Wrexham | Draw | Altrincham | 
| 3-0 @ 8.49% (  0.02) 3-1 @ 8.21% (  0.03) 2-0 @ 8.1% (  0.17) 2-1 @ 7.83% (  0.17) 4-0 @ 6.68% (  -0.11) 4-1 @ 6.45% (  -0.1) 1-0 @ 5.15% (  0.2) 5-0 @ 4.2% (  -0.15) 5-1 @ 4.06% (  -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.97% (  0.02) 4-2 @ 3.12% (  -0.05) 6-0 @ 2.2% (  -0.12) 6-1 @ 2.13% (  -0.11) 5-2 @ 1.96% (  -0.07) 6-2 @ 1.03% (  -0.05) 4-3 @ 1.01% (  -0.01) 7-0 @ 0.99% (  -0.07) 7-1 @ 0.96% (  -0.07) Other @ 3.4% Total : 79.93% | 1-1 @ 4.98% (  0.2) 2-2 @ 3.79% (  0.08) 0-0 @ 1.64% (  0.09) 3-3 @ 1.28% (  0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 11.96% | 1-2 @ 2.41% (  0.1) 0-1 @ 1.58% (  0.09) 2-3 @ 1.22% (  0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 8.11% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 30 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 74 | 27 | 47 | 71 | 
| 2 | Wrexham | 28 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 72 | 24 | 48 | 68 | 
| 3 | Woking | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 53 | 
| 4 | Chesterfield | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 52 | 
| 5 | Barnet | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 50 | 
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 42 | 
| 7 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 41 | 
| 8 | Bromley | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 41 | 
| 9 | Eastleigh | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 | 
| 10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 41 | 
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 39 | 
| 12 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 37 | 
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 | 
| 14 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 36 | 
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 35 | 
| 16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 33 | 
| 17 | York City | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 32 | 
| 18 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 32 | 
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 30 | 
| 20 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 28 | 
| 21 | Gateshead | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 28 | 
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 26 | 
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 23 | 
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 22 | 
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