Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 79.93%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 8.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.98%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-2 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Altrincham |
| 79.93% ( | 11.96% ( | 8.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.78% ( | 22.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.8% ( | 41.2% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.69% ( | 4.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 82.14% ( | 17.86% ( |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.96% ( | 38.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.19% ( | 74.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Altrincham |
| 3-0 @ 8.49% ( 3-1 @ 8.21% ( 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 4-0 @ 6.68% ( 4-1 @ 6.45% ( 1-0 @ 5.15% ( 5-0 @ 4.2% ( 5-1 @ 4.06% ( 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 4-2 @ 3.12% ( 6-0 @ 2.2% ( 6-1 @ 2.13% ( 5-2 @ 1.96% ( 6-2 @ 1.03% ( 4-3 @ 1.01% ( 7-0 @ 0.99% ( 7-1 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.4% Total : 79.93% | 1-1 @ 4.98% ( 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0-0 @ 1.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 11.96% | 1-2 @ 2.41% ( 0-1 @ 1.58% ( 2-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 8.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 30 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 74 | 27 | 47 | 71 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 28 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 72 | 24 | 48 | 68 |
| 3 | Woking | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 53 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 52 |
| 5 | Barnet | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 50 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 42 |
| 7 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 41 |
| 8 | Bromley | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 41 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 41 |
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 37 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 |
| 14 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 36 |
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 35 |
| 16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 33 |
| 17 | York City | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 32 |
| 18 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 32 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 30 |
| 20 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 28 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 28 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 26 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 23 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 22 |
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