

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Oldham Athletic | 
| 28.32% (  0.13) | 24.22% (  -0.03) | 47.46% (  -0.1) | 
| Both teams to score 57.18% (  0.21) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55% (  0.23) | 45% (  -0.23) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.65% (  0.22) | 67.35% (  -0.22) | 
| Altrincham Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.66% (  0.22) | 29.34% (  -0.21) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.68% (  0.26) | 65.32% (  -0.26) | 
| Oldham Athletic Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.92% (  0.05) | 19.08% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.32% (  0.08) | 50.68% (  -0.08) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Altrincham | Draw | Oldham Athletic | 
| 2-1 @ 6.97% (  0.03) 1-0 @ 6.86% (  -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.21% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 2.85% (  0.03) 3-2 @ 2.36% (  0.03) 3-0 @ 1.72% (  0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 28.32% | 1-1 @ 11.37% (  -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.77% (  0.03) 0-0 @ 5.6% (  -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.3% (  0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 9.42% (  -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.27% (  -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.68% (  -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.2% (  0) 0-3 @ 4.24% (  -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.19% (  0.02) 1-4 @ 2.15% (  0) 0-4 @ 1.76% (  -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.32% (  0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 47.46% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 | 
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 | 
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 | 
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 | 
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 | 
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 | 
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 | 
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 | 
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 | 
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 | 
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 | 
| 13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 | 
| 14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 | 
| 15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 | 
| 16 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 | 
| 17 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 | 
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 | 
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 | 
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 | 
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 | 
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 | 
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 | 
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 | 
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