Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Wrexham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Wrexham |
| 22% ( | 24.19% | 53.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.77% ( | 50.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.81% ( | 72.18% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.55% ( | 37.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.76% ( | 74.24% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% ( | 18.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.13% ( | 49.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 2-1 @ 5.65% ( 2-0 @ 3.36% ( 3-1 @ 1.85% ( 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 3-0 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 1.65% Total : 22% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 2-2 @ 4.75% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 11.71% ( 0-2 @ 9.86% ( 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0-3 @ 5.53% ( 1-3 @ 5.43% ( 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0-4 @ 2.33% ( 1-4 @ 2.28% ( 2-4 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 30 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 74 | 27 | 47 | 71 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 28 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 72 | 24 | 48 | 68 |
| 3 | Woking | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 53 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 52 |
| 5 | Barnet | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 50 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 42 |
| 7 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 41 |
| 8 | Bromley | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 41 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 41 |
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 37 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 |
| 14 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 36 |
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 35 |
| 16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 33 |
| 17 | York City | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 32 |
| 18 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 32 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 30 |
| 20 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 28 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 28 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 26 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 23 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 22 |
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