Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Wrexham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Wrexham | 
| 22% (  0.23) | 24.19% | 53.81% (  -0.23) | 
| Both teams to score 50.92% (  0.3) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 49.77% (  0.25) | 50.23% (  -0.25) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.81% (  0.22) | 72.18% (  -0.22) | 
| Eastleigh Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.55% (  0.37) | 37.45% (  -0.37) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.76% (  0.36) | 74.24% (  -0.36) | 
| Wrexham Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.41% (  0.01) | 18.59% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.13% (  0.01) | 49.86% (  -0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Eastleigh | Draw | Wrexham | 
| 1-0 @ 6.84% (  -0) 2-1 @ 5.65% (  0.06) 2-0 @ 3.36% (  0.03) 3-1 @ 1.85% (  0.04) 3-2 @ 1.56% (  0.03) 3-0 @ 1.1% (  0.02) Other @ 1.65% Total : 22% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 6.96% (  -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.75% (  0.05) Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 11.71% (  -0.12) 0-2 @ 9.86% (  -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.68% (  0) 0-3 @ 5.53% (  -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.43% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.67% (  0.03) 0-4 @ 2.33% (  -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.28% (  0) 2-4 @ 1.12% (  0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.81% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 30 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 74 | 27 | 47 | 71 | 
| 2 | Wrexham | 28 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 72 | 24 | 48 | 68 | 
| 3 | Woking | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 53 | 
| 4 | Chesterfield | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 52 | 
| 5 | Barnet | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 50 | 
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 42 | 
| 7 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 41 | 
| 8 | Bromley | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 41 | 
| 9 | Eastleigh | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 | 
| 10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 41 | 
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 39 | 
| 12 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 37 | 
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 | 
| 14 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 36 | 
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 35 | 
| 16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 33 | 
| 17 | York City | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 32 | 
| 18 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 32 | 
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 30 | 
| 20 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 28 | 
| 21 | Gateshead | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 28 | 
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 26 | 
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 23 | 
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 22 | 
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