Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 83.69%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 5.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 4-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.8%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Maidenhead United | 
| 83.69% (  0.01) | 10.56% (  -0.01) | 5.75% (  0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 50.94% (  0.14) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 74.84% (  0.13) | 25.16% (  -0.13) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 54.87% (  0.16) | 45.13% (  -0.16) | 
| Wrexham Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 95.71% (  0.02) | 4.29% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 82.21% (  0.07) | 17.78% (  -0.07) | 
| Maidenhead United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 53.22% (  0.13) | 46.78% (  -0.14) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.68% (  0.1) | 82.32% (  -0.1) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Wrexham | Draw | Maidenhead United | 
| 3-0 @ 10.44% (  -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.95% (  -0.05) 4-0 @ 8.22% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.93% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 7.56% (  -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.31% (  -0.04) 4-1 @ 6.25% (  0.02) 5-0 @ 5.18% (  0) 5-1 @ 3.94% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% (  0.01) 6-0 @ 2.72% (  0.01) 4-2 @ 2.37% (  0.01) 6-1 @ 2.07% (  0.01) 5-2 @ 1.5% (  0.01) 7-0 @ 1.22% (  0) 7-1 @ 0.93% (  0.01) Other @ 4.09% Total : 83.69% | 1-1 @ 4.8% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.87% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 2% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 10.56% | 1-2 @ 1.82% (  0) 0-1 @ 1.52% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 5.75% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 35 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 90 | 34 | 56 | 85 | 
| 2 | Notts County | 36 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 84 | 
| 3 | Woking | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 | 
| 4 | Barnet | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 65 | 57 | 8 | 59 | 
| 5 | Chesterfield | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 58 | 
| 6 | Eastleigh | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 57 | 
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 55 | 
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 53 | 
| 9 | Bromley | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 52 | 
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 51 | 
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 49 | 
| 12 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 46 | 
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 45 | 
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 43 | 
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 41 | 
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 41 | 
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 | 
| 18 | York City | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 36 | 
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 34 | 
| 20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 33 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 33 | 
| 21 | Gateshead | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 | 
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 30 | 
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 27 | 
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 38 | 77 | -39 | 24 | 
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