Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Wrexham |
| 24.13% ( | 22.39% ( | 53.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.86% ( | 40.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.49% ( | 62.51% ( |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% ( | 29.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.9% ( | 66.09% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.95% ( | 15.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.46% ( | 43.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-1 @ 6.2% ( 1-0 @ 5.43% ( 2-0 @ 3.27% ( 3-1 @ 2.49% ( 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 3-0 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 24.13% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0-2 @ 8.09% ( 1-3 @ 6.15% ( 0-3 @ 5.11% ( 2-3 @ 3.71% ( 1-4 @ 2.91% ( 0-4 @ 2.42% ( 2-4 @ 1.76% ( 1-5 @ 1.1% ( 0-5 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 53.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 34 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 88 | 30 | 58 | 83 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 30 | 53 | 78 |
| 3 | Woking | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 55 |
| 5 | Barnet | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 53 |
| 6 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 50 |
| 7 | Eastleigh | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | Bromley | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 47 |
| 9 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 45 |
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 42 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 42 |
| 14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 38 |
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 37 |
| 16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 36 |
| 17 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 35 |
| 18 | York City | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 33 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 73 | -26 | 33 |
| 20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 32 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 32 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 29 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 38 | 63 | -25 | 26 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 22 |
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