Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Gateshead | 
| 34.93% (  0.01) | 23.6% (  0) | 41.47% (  -0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 62.62% (  -0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.77% (  -0.02) | 39.23% (  0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 38.44% (  -0.02) | 61.56% (  0.02) | 
| Scunthorpe United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.57% (  -0) | 22.43% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.04% (  -0.01) | 55.96% (  0) | 
| Gateshead Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.73% (  -0.02) | 19.27% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49% (  -0.03) | 51% (  0.03) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Gateshead | 
| 2-1 @ 7.95% (  0) 1-0 @ 6.46% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 4.83% (  0) 3-1 @ 3.96% (  0) 3-2 @ 3.26% (  -0) 3-0 @ 2.41% (  0) 4-1 @ 1.48% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.36% Total : 34.93% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 6.55% (  -0) 0-0 @ 4.32% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.79% (  -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 8.76% (  -0) 0-1 @ 7.12% (  0) 0-2 @ 5.86% (  -0) 1-3 @ 4.81% (  -0) 2-3 @ 3.59% (  -0) 0-3 @ 3.22% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.98% (  -0) 2-4 @ 1.48% (  -0) 0-4 @ 1.32% (  -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 41.47% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 42 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 106 | 36 | 70 | 100 | 
| 2 | Wrexham | 41 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 106 | 39 | 67 | 100 | 
| 3 | Woking | 41 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 75 | 
| 4 | Chesterfield | 41 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 72 | 
| 5 | Barnet | 41 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 73 | 64 | 9 | 68 | 
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 41 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 65 | 
| 7 | Eastleigh | 41 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 64 | 
| 8 | Bromley | 41 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 60 | 50 | 10 | 62 | 
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 41 | 17 | 8 | 16 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 59 | 
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 41 | 17 | 7 | 17 | 57 | 67 | -10 | 58 | 
| 11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 56 | 
| 12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 56 | 
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 53 | 
| 14 | York City | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 49 | 
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 40 | 13 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 49 | 
| 16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 49 | 
| 17 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 41 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 | 
| 18 | Gateshead | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 | 
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 41 | 13 | 7 | 21 | 59 | 86 | -27 | 46 | 
| 20 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 41 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 44 | 
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 41 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 69 | -21 | 40 | 
| 22 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 41 | 7 | 18 | 16 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 39 | 
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 42 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 46 | 78 | -32 | 34 | 
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 42 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 43 | 92 | -49 | 24 | 
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