Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 64.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Eastleigh | 
| 64.77% (  0.25) | 19.53% (  -0.05) | 15.71% (  -0.2) | 
| Both teams to score 54.87% (  -0.31) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.62% (  -0.18) | 39.38% (  0.18) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 38.28% (  -0.19) | 61.72% (  0.19) | 
| Gateshead Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 88.55% (  0.02) | 11.45% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.75% (  0.03) | 36.25% (  -0.02) | 
| Eastleigh Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 61.97% (  -0.36) | 38.03% (  0.36) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.2% (  -0.35) | 74.8% (  0.35) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Gateshead | Draw | Eastleigh | 
| 2-0 @ 10.22% (  0.1) 2-1 @ 9.89% (  -0) 1-0 @ 9.44% (  0.09) 3-0 @ 7.39% (  0.07) 3-1 @ 7.14% (  0) 4-0 @ 4% (  0.04) 4-1 @ 3.87% (  0) 3-2 @ 3.45% (  -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.87% (  -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.74% (  0.02) 5-1 @ 1.68% (  0) Other @ 4.08% Total : 64.76% | 1-1 @ 9.12% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.78% (  -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.35% (  0.04) 3-3 @ 1.11% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.53% | 1-2 @ 4.41% (  -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.21% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.03% (  -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.54% (  -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.42% (  -0.03) Other @ 2.1% Total : 15.71% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 42 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 109 | 41 | 68 | 103 | 
| 2 | Notts County | 43 | 30 | 10 | 3 | 108 | 39 | 69 | 100 | 
| 3 | Woking | 42 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 76 | 
| 4 | Chesterfield | 42 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 69 | 47 | 22 | 75 | 
| 5 | Barnet | 42 | 20 | 9 | 13 | 73 | 64 | 9 | 69 | 
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 42 | 17 | 15 | 10 | 49 | 35 | 14 | 66 | 
| 7 | Eastleigh | 43 | 19 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 53 | 0 | 65 | 
| 8 | Bromley | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 61 | 51 | 10 | 63 | 
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 60 | 
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 57 | 68 | -11 | 58 | 
| 11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 56 | 
| 12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 56 | 
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 61 | 74 | -13 | 53 | 
| 14 | Gateshead | 41 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 60 | 57 | 3 | 52 | 
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 52 | 
| 16 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 42 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 51 | 
| 17 | York City | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 49 | 
| 18 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 49 | 
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 42 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 60 | 86 | -26 | 49 | 
| 20 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 42 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 58 | 72 | -14 | 45 | 
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 43 | 
| 22 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 42 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 39 | 
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 43 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 46 | 80 | -34 | 34 | 
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 43 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 43 | 92 | -49 | 25 | 
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