| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Boreham Wood | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Eastleigh | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Halifax Town | 6 | -5 | 4 |
| 22 | Gateshead | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe United | 6 | -6 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 13.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Gateshead win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Gateshead |
| 67.74% ( | 18.35% ( | 13.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.3% ( | 37.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.05% ( | 59.94% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.79% ( | 10.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.49% ( | 33.51% ( |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.62% ( | 39.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.93% ( | 76.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 3-0 @ 7.96% ( 3-1 @ 7.42% ( 4-0 @ 4.54% ( 4-1 @ 4.23% ( 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 5-0 @ 2.07% ( 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 5-1 @ 1.93% ( Other @ 4.76% Total : 67.73% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0-0 @ 4.02% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.35% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0-1 @ 3.75% ( 0-2 @ 1.75% ( 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 1-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 1.79% Total : 13.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 70 | 23 | 47 | 65 |
| 2 | Notts County | 27 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 69 | 25 | 44 | 62 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 52 |
| 4 | Woking | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 52 |
| 5 | Barnet | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 41 |
| 6 | Bromley | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 39 |
| 7 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 39 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 38 |
| 9 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
| 10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 36 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 33 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 33 |
| 14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 33 |
| 15 | York City | 27 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 32 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 32 |
| 17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 30 |
| 18 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 29 |
| 19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 25 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 27 |
| 20 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 25 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 24 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 22 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 22 |
| 23 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 21 |
| 24 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 19 |
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