Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Twente |
| 35.98% ( | 26.3% ( | 37.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.5% ( | 51.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.7% ( | 73.3% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( | 27.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.91% ( | 63.09% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.43% ( | 26.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.22% ( | 61.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Twente |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 4-1 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.98% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0-2 @ 6.44% ( 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 24 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Ajax | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 65 | 23 | 42 | 49 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 28 | 32 | 46 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 41 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 37 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 37 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 32 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 23 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 30 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 29 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 23 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 23 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 23 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 20 | 54 | -34 | 20 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 18 |
| 17 | Groningen | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 39 | -26 | 13 |
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