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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 53.23%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Vitesse |
53.23% (![]() | 22.76% (![]() | 24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.06% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.04% (![]() | 41.96% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.63% (![]() | 64.36% (![]() |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.23% (![]() | 15.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.1% (![]() | 44.89% (![]() |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.93% (![]() | 31.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.61% (![]() | 67.38% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 9.77% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.05% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.36% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.52% 4-1 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 3.57% Total : 53.23% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 6.18% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.73% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 2.81% Total : 24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 39 |
2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 38 |
3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 35 |
4 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
5 | Ajax | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 33 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 27 |
8 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 26 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 22 |
10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 19 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 19 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 19 |
13 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 19 |
14 | Vitesse | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 16 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
16 | Groningen | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 12 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 12 |
18 | Cambuur | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 28 | -19 | 9 |
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