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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Heerenveen | 4 | 5 | 8 |
6 | FC Twente | 3 | 3 | 6 |
7 | SBV Excelsior | 3 | -1 | 6 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | FC Twente | 3 | 3 | 6 |
7 | SBV Excelsior | 3 | -1 | 6 |
8 | Groningen | 4 | -4 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
61.39% (![]() | 20.8% (![]() | 17.81% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.04% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.61% (![]() | 41.39% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.22% (![]() | 63.78% (![]() |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87% (![]() | 13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.48% (![]() | 39.52% (![]() |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.26% (![]() | 36.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.48% (![]() | 73.53% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.94% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.74% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.77% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 3.38% Total : 61.39% | 1-1 @ 9.76% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.77% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.8% | 1-2 @ 4.89% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.78% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 2.46% Total : 17.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 61 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 71 | 33 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Ajax | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 55 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 54 |
5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
8 | Heerenveen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 32 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 29 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
14 | Vitesse | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 24 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 24 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 24 |
17 | Groningen | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 16 |
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