| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Cambuur | 6 | -5 | 4 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 15 | Emmen | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Emmen | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 6 | -13 | 4 |
| 17 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | -7 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 51.48% ( | 23.2% ( | 25.32% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.34% ( | 42.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.94% ( | 65.06% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.36% ( | 16.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.52% ( | 46.48% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% ( | 30.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.43% ( | 66.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 2-0 @ 8.13% ( 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 3-0 @ 4.86% ( 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 5-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 51.48% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.2% | 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 3% Total : 25.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 49 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Ajax | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 59 | 22 | 37 | 43 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 42 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 13 | 22 | 40 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 37 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 33 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 29 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 26 |
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | Vitesse | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 23 |
| 13 | Go Ahead Eagles | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 22 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 20 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 20 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
| 17 | Groningen | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 14 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 13 |
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